Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.034291 0.037319 0.040358 0.043631 0.047050 0.050511 0.054273
2026-01-18 0.029800 0.034333 0.039023 0.044213 0.049776 0.055540 0.061942
2026-01-25 0.024859 0.030309 0.036117 0.042712 0.049944 0.057589 0.066236
2026-02-01 0.021557 0.027705 0.034433 0.042246 0.050981 0.060369 0.071142
2026-02-08 0.019025 0.025706 0.033200 0.042079 0.052177 0.063180 0.075962
2026-02-15 0.017711 0.024964 0.033270 0.043273 0.054799 0.067495 0.082378
2026-02-22 0.016437 0.024145 0.033151 0.044160 0.057001 0.071284 0.088161
2026-03-01 0.015114 0.023155 0.032738 0.044627 0.058655 0.074401 0.093147
2026-03-08 0.013801 0.022075 0.032135 0.044797 0.059906 0.077011 0.097519
2026-03-15 0.013034 0.021629 0.032254 0.045790 0.062085 0.080661 0.103056
2026-03-22 0.011562 0.020159 0.031027 0.045083 0.062200 0.081880 0.105769
2026-03-29 0.010637 0.019356 0.030585 0.045295 0.063373 0.084301 0.109842
2026-04-05 0.009933 0.018831 0.030497 0.045958 0.065118 0.087437 0.114806
2026-04-12 0.009232 0.018265 0.030325 0.046494 0.066701 0.090379 0.119551
2026-04-19 0.007799 0.016534 0.028536 0.044921 0.065653 0.090167 0.120576
2026-04-26 0.006887 0.015500 0.027628 0.044428 0.065901 0.091470 0.123360
2026-05-03 0.006162 0.014695 0.026989 0.044252 0.066515 0.093193 0.126623
2026-05-10 0.005935 0.014668 0.027423 0.045477 0.068883 0.097033 0.132404
2026-05-17 0.005632 0.014489 0.027628 0.046388 0.070849 0.100384 0.137602
2026-05-24 0.005226 0.014106 0.027521 0.046868 0.072258 0.103049 0.141979
2026-05-31 0.004768 0.013595 0.027202 0.047043 0.073264 0.105215 0.145752
2026-06-07 0.004565 0.013518 0.027510 0.048063 0.075351 0.108704 0.151116
2026-06-14 0.003943 0.012621 0.026562 0.047337 0.075166 0.109384 0.153084